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okay so good evening everybody tonight we're going to continue with our look at um the late build we looked yesterday at the 100 trillion rand that's been lost to the south african economy and the rand dollar is currently about 16. so if you take 100 trillion and divide by 16 that's 6.5 trillion dollars that's been lost and when you look at this power station on the bottom left this is the madupi power station in 2015 by 2015 it was meant to be finished and as you can see only the first two turbine buildings were under construction and they weren't even finished yet so you can see that when you build a monster you end up with a monster now we get told that coal power is really cheap and gas power is really cheap and oil power is really cheap and making diesel and petrol and all the lubricants that your cars need is really cheap and maybe it is really cheap maybe it is i don't know but maybe it is but maybe there's something else going on i mean let's look at one of escom's existing power stations up in the top over here this is one of their existing coal power stations it's actually in the distance in this photograph as well over there this is from the center of environmental rights they took these photographs some time ago maybe five ten years ago so you can see the smoke coming out of there's chimneys there and this is for the water because the power stations use a lot of water and you can see the smog that's been created but the pollution that's been created in the air by the power station look at that pollution on the horizon you can see it's really really really bad and this over here is an open cost coal mine so you can see that we're destroying prime land prime agricultural land which we need to make food and we're destroying it forever by coal mining surface coal mining and then if you go look at canada with the tar sands they're destroying canada and taking tar sands which might be good in the short term creating oil but maybe we don't need so much oil and then you have this power station where that's that smoke which is the same as that smoke creating all that smog which stands all that smog and ascon's biggest product now you might think that s-com the utility the south african utilities biggest product is electricity and you'd be wrong electricity s-com's biggest product is actually ash and here in the front of this power station is something called an ash dam and ash tams the walls around the ash dams have broken in the past flooding schools communities and also besides the the coal that you need the ash dam is taking up space and what are we going to do with all this ash some of it we can use for bricks or for this or that but most of it is just going to sit there for decades perhaps thousands of years and our great great great great grandchildren are going to say what did these guys do they had such a relatively small amount of space to grow food and to you know live in a fantastic pristine environment but because there was temptation maybe we should talk about temptation and we should talk about free will and ancient wisdom and our sergioli asajioli was a fantastic psychologist stroke psychiatrist stroke doctor who lived at the same time as freud and jung most people haven't heard of her sergio lee one of sergio's books is called free will and free will is not about waking up late and raping the planet and i use the word rape specifically because this and this and this is raped just like the rape of a young woman or a young man or even an old woman or an old man taking something from them that you can never get back that's what rape is rape is you take something from someone and they can never get it back they can never get that innocence back they can never get what they had before back before that lightning bolt came out of the blue and took their life away and made some people recover but there's all that this nature being raped it'll take a billion years to recover yes it will recover everything is recycled but it will recover but it's not going to recover in our lifetime or children's lifetime
so temptation is when you take what's in front of you and your myopic and you say what can i get now how cheap can i do it what can i build with it and free will is making a decision i'm going to run a marathon i'm going to wake up at four o'clock every morning go for three hours if it's snowing or sunny or i'm going to spend 25 years building programs and systems and show people that there's a different way to behave with the world which is what i've done since 1999
23 years so far
and spending approximately half of my time when i could have been working and earning but trying to work on the commons and looking for possibilities and here in the bottom right is a graph which comes from let me just exit that which comes from the white paper on renewable energy so it does this let's talk to the streaming people about it when the cursor moves to near the bottom it brings up that i must find a way to stop it but if you look at the bottom it says from white paper and renewable energy 2003 this is a graph from the white paper when remember i spoke before white paper is a government strategy document so strategy is what we call in business white paper is what the government calls it and it shows that here is the demand curve that blue line but when you build a power station you bring on much more excess capacity than you need and so there was this all the spare capacity and what s-com did is that they sold the spare capacity to smelters and other big users at really cheap prices because whatever they got for that triangle of electricity that was basically free because everything was paid for that line but what they didn't take into account that one day they were going to get to a point where they ran out of that excess and that happened in 2008 it almost happened earlier but it actually happened in 2008 and the 3000 white paper said that south africa will start experiencing load shedding unplanned outages electricity outages from 2008 to 2030. we're currently in 2022 everybody says why are we still having this but this graph shows and when we get to 2025 the load shedding is going to get far far far worse because that's when s com have to start switching off their power stations and so there's this thing called the s com cliff so we all think you know the writer comes on board and he says in two years time there's going to be no more load shedding where it's just double the price well we haven't already had the doubling of the price we've seen that you know so we go back to that slide where we looked at the price doubling let's see if we can find that slide yeah but here we are at this point 50 cents a kilowatt hour there we are at that point three round thirty kilowatt hour fifty cents to three round thirty
six times increase over 14 years six times if you look at this green dotted line that's inflation so we should have gone from 50 cents to 75 cents but we've actually gone from 50 cents to
three round 30. and in the meantime this green line is photovoltaic electricity grid tie without batteries price coming down and this yellow orange line is the approximate trend of grid tie systems with batteries price coming down and you can see what happens this year that the battery price becomes equal to the homeowner price and within the next five years the battery price will be less than s com's production price
now i personally believe let's go back to this other slide that we were looking at
i personally believe there should be you know you can build two of these monsters 4.8 gigawatt power stations if you go back up here and see that there's the baseline of when we expect madupi to come on so yeah madupi 1.5 gigawatts here madupi another 794 yamaduki another 1.5 yamaduki 704 madup is finished 4.8 gigawatts coming on stream supposedly between 2013 and 2016 so that was when it was meant to be done it was actually meant to be completed in mid-2015 but let's say 2016. okay so that's a really big power station that's a monster a monster that looks like this now if we bought a i go and say to people let's board 100 megawatt power station 100 megawatt coal power stand people said david you're nuts it's inefficient it's better to build amy lovin said there's no economy of scale for building a coal power station above 800 megawatts so in this case each of these towers should have been a separate power station not a big one big power station because of all kinds of problems for example how do you get you can get the coal coming out a conveyor belt to that one but how do you get the call to that one that one that one and that one then this one's producing waste ash and that one and that one how do you get that waste out of that power station in the middle so i said when they started having problems in twenty twelve twenty said knock out that middle one and finish those two and those two which means you can bring inputs water coal all the inputs you need to this one and take out the waste and on this side bring out the electricity and then that one you can tweak in the coal and you don't have to worry about finding ways to move coal around and ash around just take the middle and then we said no but we're going to waste 20 or 30 billion around i said yes we'll waste 30 billion rent but we'll save 200 billion around
because that's called learning when you learn you waste some money but you learn and then you don't waste it again yeah we're wasting it constantly so i said let's build a 100 megawatt power station
and then once he bought one let's put another one and when we bought another one let's build a third one let's modularize them so all the components arrive and within two to three weeks we bought a 100 megawatt power station and every month we produce between one and four 100 megawatt power stations if we did that how long would it take us if we produced one a month to get to 4.8 to take 48 months
it'd be quicker to do that than to do this and probably cheaper and we could do it in 48 weeks instead of 48 months
what's 48 divided by 12 12 12 months it's like five years of building one power station a month and if we build one a week we build the whole power station in under a year we modularize the system that's what a business model does it modularizes the system so you're gonna buy a hundred turbines you're gonna buy a hundred generators you're gonna buy a hundred switching stations you're going to buy a hundred coal feeders you're going to buy 100 conveyor belts you're going to build 100 stations because you need you're going to build 100 coal yards yes you're going to be shifting coal around the country but when you have embedded power stations and you have a cloud in cape town and you know the cloud's going to be here tomorrow afternoon you can turn on the power station in time one thing you can definitely do with the sun and with the wind is you know exactly what how much sun and how much wind you're going to have to more often during three o'clock and we can thank the airline industry for that the two giant super computers one is in bracknell and one is in uh it's in new york south new york i can't think of the name now these two crazed supercomputers the world's most powerful computers and they run the weather system the weather forecast system and the airline industry paid for them because the airline industry needs to know that when a plane takes off on a 12-hour journey it can land on the other side because it's very expensive for the plane to divert or to offload passengers at another airport and then fly the people they want to know when they take off they can land at the other side in clear weather even if it's raining or stormy now and if you get delayed your flight gets delayed by an hour or two and they say there's a technical issue chances are the technical issue is because the technical that there's a storm on the other side and whilst plans can take off they can't land and now we have instrument landing systems and all kinds of things which means plans can land even in a swim as long as there isn't a strong crosswind but the point about it is that at three o'clock tomorrow afternoon i know it's going to be sunny or windy or not and if it's not going to be windy and it's not going to be sunny i can switch on my embedded coal power station
so yes maybe it's inefficient to build a 100 megawatt call power station which can start by itself under its own steam but if you bought 100 of them it becomes efficient because you have economies of scale you have the learning curve remember we spoke about the learning curve
as the learning curve as we make more we bring the cost down but here as we make more the cost radically goes up as we make more of these things the cost goes up as we make more of these the cost goes up you've seen the cost we end up six and a half times in the past 14 years the waste the requirement for coal goes up people are complaining about lithium mines and lithium mine is tiny compared to a coal open coast coal mine like this that's destroying hundreds of square kilometers and then you've got all this waste and this is only the the ash waste what about the coal waste that isn't burnt and what about all the other waste that comes out of this what about all the smoke that's sitting in the atmosphere that we're breathing that's causing us to have respiratory illnesses i won't tell you about the latest one we just had for the past two and a half years the planet the planet says to us i can't breathe and it sends humans a respiratory illness humans turn on the air conditioners and go back to the office building instead of saying i learned how to work from my home office i know how to do that yes my children need to be educated so we need to have a hybrid system for children's education but every single office building worker must be working from home offices or in local pod offices if they want to be in community so we've just spent two and a half years learning a new system and we just want to go back to the old system and nature will give us nature will send us warnings one of the beautiful things about mother nature mother nature is a really caring mother and the caring mother will send a shot across the bow just like a a nice admiral in his aircraft carrier will send a shot across the bow of his enemy saying please heave to change direction change course and if they don't they'll blow them out the water now what's that what's going to happen here nature sends us warnings first it sends people like me and greta and al gore and hundreds of people like us saying warning the planet look after the environment look after the planet do things differently costs will come down if we redirect our money that doesn't happen then what happens god says i've sent 50 messengers no one's listening to them he sends a respiratory disease and everybody's suddenly at home and the canals in venice get get clean and there's penguins walking around on the streets in cape town and their coyotes on um golden gate bridge in san francisco and people in mumbai haven't seen the sky for 30 years the one guy says i can see the sky and for the first time in his life he can take his take his mask off because the air is clean over the cities of the world and that's what happened in the first three months of lockdowns and lockouts we learned how to clean up our act we learned how to clean up the world we learned so much
and then we go back to where we were we go back to the course we were on and that aircraft carrier blows us out of that water bam gone and maybe a million people died in the past two years from this respiratory disease what happens when a billion people die in three months and there's no antidote the antidote was that we cleaned up our act we listened to the message that nature gave us in the past two years to clean up back and not to create more of this and not more of this and not more of this and not to have serious amounts of death and load shedding because when these power stations start switching off and there aren't new ones and we don't have much time now we've got five years and you're going to see i'm going to show you a spreadsheet later on which shows you how in five years private people people working together communities can build their own power stations faster than s-com can faster than any government can faster than any utility can and we have to do it we've got until 2028 we've got six years before they start switching off these power stations and one more thing this power station over here when it was built it had an eia and environmental impact assessment routes how is it going to impact the environment and it's meant to have scrubbers in these chimneys to take out the pollution that goes out of the chimney and it's meant to have all kinds of other pollution features in it and those features haven't been put in so technically this power station if it produces one kilowatt of electricity it's outside its license conditions and the national energy regulator and the department of environment should be sued because they are not doing their jobs by allowing this power station to produce electricity and we were told that electricity from this power station would cost
approximately here we were told that it would the power the price of electricity would go for 50 cents to one rand and that would be it that would be enough for escom to be cost reflective and now where are we
we stuffed
cost reflective is a misnomer it's a way of covering up so we know what we need to do we need to look after the environment i came along greta thunder came along our goal came along even barack obama in 2009 i was in america and i read about dream and dream was double renewable energy in america in four years barack obama's first term and then doubled it again in the second term but even if it doubled twice renewable energy still only represents about five percent of total electricity production in the world so still a long way to go but pouring 100 billion rand 100 billion dollars a year into convincing lawmakers to allow coal when there's other alternatives when we could have hundreds and hundreds of embedded 100 megawatt call power sessions to back up embedded solar and embedded wind an embedded biodigesters and embedded sewage mining
and decentralized systems that are uncorruptable incorruptible that clean up your karma that's when we going forward we're saying i can do it i want to do it i must do it
you know we go back right back to the beginning the very first slide you remember it all the way back then
paul sagan he said you're alive today for a reason you are by accident of fate alive at an absolutely critical moment in the history of our planet do something join forces together with your friends if you build your own pv system great if you join with 10 friends or you join with your community you can save 30 percent of your electricity cost and you can put electricity on the on the township next to you give them free electricity and still save 30 electricity costs when you have an abundance of electricity and you live next to the coast as we did in cape town you can desalinate water and cut save 70 of your water cost by desalinating the water when you bring your electricity costs down by thirty percent in your water costs down by seventy percent and you double or triple the availability jobs start being created your petrol price comes down your food price comes down your health goes up your quality of life goes up how many times do i need to say it
you're alive you have an opportunity to fix the planet you have an opportunity to tell your neighbors hey watch these videos
if i made a video about doing the chaka like a dance i'd have a million subscribers by now i'm not making videos about that making videos about the environment and how to fix the planet i've got 133 subscribers come on people help me to monetize my channel or get more subscribers then i can go spend more time i can make two or three videos a day instead of one video a day and write more books can do more free public speaking you can speak to more businesses more people by you helping me by spreading the word by sharing this by talking about it in your communities by talking about it in your synagogues in your mosques in your churches in your temples in your shrines
in your addresses in your businesses in your corporates in your soccer clubs in your football clubs in your rugby clubs in your hockey clubs
with your friends over a broadway barbecue at your golf club when you're playing golf with your friends you're talking about this about what we can do to solve our problem so we don't end up with this is what we're looking at today
this and this and this and this it's not necessary we do need to do some coal mining but not like this
not like this we want our health to improve we want our stress levels to go down we want our relationships to go up we want to spend more time with each other more social nearness but not in big buildings with legionnaires disease and all kinds of other respiratory problems in the buildings sick building syndrome look up legionnaires disease
we know what we need to do the aircraft carrier has just fired a shot across our ship's bow and said change course
and if we go back onto the original course the aircraft carrier will blows out the water and who's that aircraft carrier that aircraft carrier is god who's carrying us who will say i need to save my planet and if that means a billion people are gonna have to die and that's what i'm gonna have to do anything god wants to do that no that's why god is sending us humanity warnings and saying look after my planet look after your home look after your biosphere look after your land look after your creation
so your cost of living goes down so your health goes up
so you can live better
so you can become telepathic and instead of going on you know you know my spaceship to mars you can go to mars or you can go to arcturia or ignore any galaxy just by thinking about it you don't have to wear a visual headset vr headset virtual reality headset to go somewhere you just close your eyes and you boom you're there just like that beam me up scotty beaming up scotty is slower than your ability to go anywhere in the entire universe instantly
okay let's make it happen i'm looking forward to your interacting looking forward to your sharing i'm looking forward to your comments looking forward to your likes and shares and subscribes and tomorrow night we look at the next piece of the puzzle good night many blessings to all and good evening good morning good afternoon wherever you are in the world thank you for watching
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